<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2076-054X</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Población y Desarrollo ]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Poblac.Desarro.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2076-054X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS ECONÓMICAS- UNA]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2076-054X2020005100006</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.18004/pdfce/2076-054x/2020.026.51.006</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Proyección de la mortalidad utilizando dos modelos probabilísticos. Aplicaciones y limitaciones]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Mortality projection using two probabilistic models. Applications and limitations]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Andreozzi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Lucía]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Torres]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Eduardo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional de Rosario  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Rosario ]]></addr-line>
<country>Argentina</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>26</volume>
<numero>51</numero>
<fpage>6</fpage>
<lpage>19</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.iics.una.py/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2076-054X2020005100006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.iics.una.py/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2076-054X2020005100006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.iics.una.py/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2076-054X2020005100006&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN En este artículo se presenta el modelo de Lee-Carter y el Modelo de Datos Funcionales (dos modelos probabilísticos, ambos provenientes de la Estadística) y con cada uno se elabora la proyección de la mortalidad y las esperanzas de vida al nacimiento en tres Departamentos de la Provincia de Córdoba para el período 2020 - 2040. Además, se analizan las fortalezas y debilida des de ambos métodos. Para ello se utilizan datos provenientes de Estadísticas Vitales y Censos Nacionales de Población de Argentina. Asimismo, se aborda la relación entre las metodologías estadísticas y la Demografía.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT This paper is focused on Lee-Carter Model and Functional Data Model, both of which were de veloped in the field of Statistics. These models are applied in order to carry out the projection of mortality and life expectancies at birth on three departments of the province of Córdoba (Argen tina) from 2020 to 2040. The strengths and weakness of said models are also analyzed. In order to do that, data from Vital Statistics and National Census in Argentina were used. Moreover, there is reference to the relationship between Demography and Statistics as well.]]></p></abstract>
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<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[mortalidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Demographic]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[projections]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[probabilistic-models]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[mortality]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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